At a Glance
- West Des Moines District 16 seat up for a special election
- Republicans need one more seat to regain a Senate supermajority
- Voter turnout expected around 67% based on the 2024 general election
- Why it matters: Winning could give Republicans a supermajority that can override vetoes and call special sessions
In a district that leans Democratic, the upcoming special election could tip the balance of power in the Iowa Senate.
Who’s Running?
- Democrat Renee Hardman – West Des Moines City Council member and mayor pro tempore
- Republican Lucas Loftin – employee at an environmental and outdoor services company
Why It Matters
- Republicans currently hold a 33-16 edge in the Senate
- One seat short of the 34 needed for a two-thirds supermajority
- A supermajority allows override of the governor’s veto, call special sessions, authorize certain payments, and confirm some appointments
- Republicans already hold a supermajority in the Iowa House
Voter Registration & Turnout
| Category | Number | % of Registered Voters |
|---|---|---|
| Total registered (as of Dec. 1) | ~45,000 | 100% |
| Democrats | 37% | 16,650 |
| Republicans | 30% | 13,500 |
| No party affiliation | 32% | 14,400 |
Last election turnout was about 67% of registered voters, with 62% voting in-person and 38% absentee.
Election Day Details
- Election held Tuesday, polls close at 8 p.m. local time (9 p.m. ET)
- Only contest on the ballot
- Any voter registered in District 16 may vote
- Results will be reported by News Of Austin once a winner is clear
Recount Rules
- Iowa has no automatic recount law
- Candidates may request and pay for a recount
- No payment required if margin < 1% of total vote or < 50 votes, whichever is larger
- News Of Austin may declare a winner if the lead is too large for a recount or legal challenge to change the outcome
Key Takeaways
- Republicans are one seat away from a Senate supermajority
- The special election in District 16 could shift control of the chamber
- Turnout is expected to mirror the 67% rate seen in 2024
- Recount eligibility depends on margin thresholds
The outcome of this race will shape Iowa’s legislative agenda and the balance of power between parties for the remainder of the term.
